Ryne Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 184LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 2, #56, Arizona Diamondbacks | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 8 8 5.31 29 27 0 144 96 1.42
2024 10 6 4.24 28 25 1 150.2 126 1.25
2025 3 2 4.14 15 5 1 50 41 1.14
4 Seasons 22 17 4.51 75 60 2 363 279 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 29 8-8 5.31 144 96 1.42
2024 28 10-6 4.24 150.2 126 1.25
2025 15 3-2 4.14 50 41 1.14
4 Seasons 75 22-17 4.51 363 279 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 253 47 3 6.4 4.3 89.6 109.4 25.8 27.7 .173 .295 .224 .234 .265 36.2 23.2 8.7 1.47 2.24
2023 25 2355 475 55 11.6 8.9 90.8 113.2 16.2 37.1 .269 .488 .357 .349 .385 42.7 15.5 7.4 5.31 5.27
2024 26 2406 464 35 7.5 5.6 90.1 112.1 12.0 34.5 .267 .413 .322 .315 .370 41.6 20.0 5.4 4.24 4.17
2025 27 823 148 13 8.8 6.3 90.9 115.0 11.7 39.2 .279 .438 .285 .340 .391 41.2 19.8 7.7 4.14 4.41
Player 5837 1134 106 9.3 7.0 90.5 115.0 14.3 35.9 .265 .441 .327 .329 .375 41.8 18.3 6.7
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(59.2%) ,
Slider
(13.1%) ,
Cutter
(12.9%) ,
Curveball
(8.7%) ,
Changeup
(6.1%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 25.5 74.5 44.7 17.0 12.8 31.9 36.2 31.9 14.9 6.4 4.3 17.0 29.8 27.7
2023 37.5 62.5 31.2 22.9 8.4 37.7 38.3 24.0 18.9 13.7 4.8 18.7 24.6 19.2
2024 42.5 57.5 24.1 27.6 5.8 36.9 34.7 28.4 19.0 17.5 6.0 17.9 17.2 22.4
2025 44.6 55.4 23.6 27.7 4.1 33.1 42.6 24.3 17.6 20.3 6.8 15.5 22.3 17.6
Player 39.9 60.1 27.9 25.2 7.0 36.5 37.3 26.2 18.6 15.8 5.6 17.9 21.5 20.6
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 2.1 19.1 46.8 14.9 10.6 6.4 4.3
2023 3.4 26.3 30.9 22.1 5.5 11.6 8.9
2024 2.6 32.5 25.2 26.3 5.8 7.5 5.6
2025 4.1 30.4 22.3 27.0 6.8 8.8 6.3
Player 3.1 29.1 28.1 24.2 6.0 9.3 7.0
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 487 95.6 11.0 2.4 3.7ARM -3.1 19.0 3.1 3.7ARM -4.0
2025 Curveball AZ R 71 80.5 50.2 -2.5 9.0GLV 0.5 -7.9 -1.9 9.0GLV -0.4
2025 Slider AZ R 108 85.8 38.2 3.0 5.4GLV 1.2 -1.2 2.9 5.4GLV 0.5
2025 Changeup AZ R 50 86.8 23.9 -8.2 13.5ARM -1.1 12.5 -8.4 13.5ARM -1.3
2025 Cutter AZ R 106 90.5 27.1 -2.2 3.7GLV 1.3 6.2 -2.2 3.7GLV 1.4
2024 Sweeper AZ R 44 82.3 40.3 1.0 11.5GLV -2.3 0.1 1.4 11.5GLV -2.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 1341 95.2 11.9 2.0 5.7ARM -1.2 18.3 2.6 5.7ARM -1.9
2024 Slider AZ R 204 84.2 40.3 2.9 5.5GLV 0.4 -1.8 3.4 5.5GLV 0.6
2024 Curveball AZ R 137 77.8 53.2 -2.5 9.2GLV 0.2 -7.8 -2.2 9.2GLV -0.2
2024 Changeup AZ R 238 83.0 29.8 -3.1 15.2ARM 1.2 10.1 -5.2 15.2ARM 1.0
2024 Cutter AZ R 442 91.2 24.4 -0.3 1.2GLV -1.4 8.4 0.1 1.2GLV -1.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 8 487 59.2 133 .208 .333 .278 17.4 21.8 19.0 .271 .414 .333 41.8
2025 Slider -0.4 0 108 13.1 18 .222 .222 .212 19.5 16.7 8.3 .246 .283 .229 33.3
2025 Cutter 0.9 1 106 12.9 25 .217 .391 .330 30.0 12.0 27.3 .304 .590 .401 40.0
2025 Curveball -2.6 -2 72 8.7 22 .263 .474 .405 27.6 27.3 18.2 .298 .463 .375 53.8
2025 Changeup -1.7 -1 50 6.1 9 .222 .556 .322 18.8 0.0 0.0 .347 .617 .405 33.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 6 1,341 55.7 328 .249 .418 .320 19.5 28.0 19.8 .249 .388 .308 51.9
2024 Cutter -1.1 -5 442 18.4 131 .317 .508 .363 15.4 10.7 13.6 .307 .437 .335 35.1
2024 Changeup -2.5 -6 238 9.9 66 .302 .587 .389 20.3 10.6 9.2 .287 .495 .352 35.7
2024 Slider 0.5 1 204 8.5 56 .226 .340 .256 15.6 12.5 8.5 .245 .354 .271 25.5
2024 Curveball 1.8 3 137 5.7 32 .138 .207 .178 14.8 9.4 10.0 .233 .420 .294 22.2
2024 Sweeper -5.6 -2 44 1.8 15 .400 .733 .477 16.7 20.0 13.0 .332 .547 .373 58.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 50 86.8 99 18.3 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Curveball 71 80.5 65 14.2 7:15 7:30 -15
2025 Cutter 106 90.5 55 7.1 11:30 10:45 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 479 95.6 98 19.0 12:30 12:30 0
2025 Slider 105 85.8 35 6.8 9:00 8:15 45
2024 Changeup 238 83.0 99 18.3 2:00 2:00 0
2024 Curveball 137 77.8 67 14.4 7:15 7:30 -15
2024 Cutter 442 91.2 63 8.1 12:00 11:45 15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,340 95.2 98 18.8 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Slider 204 84.2 38 7.3 8:45 8:00 45
2024 Sweeper 44 82.3 51 12.4 8:00 8:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 68 253 3 3 -1 -1 4
2023 618 2,355 -3 4 -14 -9 -22
2024 628 2,406 5 15 -16 -8 -4
2025 207 823 7 10 -9 -3 6
Player 1,521 5,837 11 33 -39 11 -15
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 253 54.2 62.0 82.4 21.6 56.0 46.6 53.6 43.5 23.6 9.1 69.6
2023 2,355 54.4 70.4 84.6 25.1 62.6 43.3 62.2 49.8 20.3 8.0 83.1
2024 2,406 54.0 71.1 85.5 29.3 70.7 44.8 67.3 51.8 18.2 8.2 83.8
2025 823 52.5 69.0 84.2 23.3 63.7 45.7 61.8 47.3 20.1 9.0 85.1
Player 5,837 53.9 70.1 84.8 26.4 66.2 44.4 63.9 50.0 19.5 8.3 83.1
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 66 42 77
2023 15 18 8 6 41 2 4 8 22 6 65 9 11 56 43 52 70
2024 41 13 29 55 48 18 54 18 25 26 89 4 56 69 41 38 81
2025 28 15 33 52 26 31 41 19 48 34 59 14 7 74 46 26 83
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.79 2 2.1 0 2 3 0 0.0
2023 23.78 25 25.3 0 10 22 8 32.0
2024 22.78 17 16.0 1 10 14 5 29.4
2025 25.76 4 4.9 -1 4 2 3 75.0
Player 23.72 48 48.3 0 26 41 16 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 25 21 19 26 24 24 27 25 21 21 21 24 27 26 30 29 31 27 30 28 26 23 35 32 24 21 26 21 30 23 17
2024 17 14 12 23 16 17 18 17 15 11 15 18 15 10 17 16 14 15 17 19 18 14 24 19 14 14 16 16 16 16 15
2025 4 5 4 6 6 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 7 6 6 3 5 6 5 5 6 4 6 5 4 4 4 4 6 4 4
Player 48 42 36 57 48 47 52 48 42 37 41 50 51 44 56 52 52 49 55 54 51 44 68 59 43 41 48 44 55 45 38
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 94.7 -2.0 92.7 1.5 94.2 0.5 94.7
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 1.5 83.3 -0.3 83.0 3.8 86.8
Breaking Velocity 79.3 1.1 80.4 1.3 81.7 2.0 83.7
Exit Velocity 89.6 1.2 90.8 -0.7 90.1 0.8 90.9
Launch Angle 25.8 -9.6 16.2 -4.2 12.0 -0.3 11.7
Barrel % 6.4 5.2 11.6 -4.1 7.5 1.3 8.8
Hard Hit % 36.2 6.5 42.7 -1.1 41.6 -0.4 41.2
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.7 9.4 37.1 -2.6 34.5 4.7 39.2
xBA .173 0.096 .269 -0.002 .267 0.012 .279
BA .145 0.139 .284 -0.018 .266 -0.049 .217
xwOBA .234 0.115 .349 -0.034 .315 0.025 .340
wOBA .224 0.133 .357 -0.035 .322 -0.037 .285
xSLG .295 0.193 .488 -0.075 .413 0.025 .438
SLG .306 0.209 .515 -0.069 .446 -0.092 .354
K% 23.2 -7.7 15.5 4.5 20.0 -0.2 19.8
BB% 8.7 -1.3 7.4 -2.0 5.4 2.3 7.7
Swing % 43.5 6.3 49.8 2.0 51.8 -4.5 47.3
Whiff% 23.6 -3.3 20.3 -2.1 18.2 1.9 20.1
In Zone % 54.2 0.2 54.4 -0.4 54.0 -1.5 52.5
Out of Zone % 45.8 -0.2 45.6 0.4 46.0 1.5 47.5
Out of Zone Swing % 21.6 3.5 25.1 4.2 29.3 -6.0 23.3
First Pitch Swing % 23.2 9.9 33.1 2.5 35.6 -1.8 33.8
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 8.6 62.2 5.1 67.3 -5.5 61.8
+ View Complete Year to Year Changes Leaderboard

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 68 .224 35 4 11.4 33 19 57.6
2023 Shades 617 .356 314 1 0.3 303 172 56.8
2024 Shades 628 .322 316 2 0.6 312 132 42.3
2025 Shades 207 .285 101 9 8.9 106 69 65.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 92 17.3 14.1% 1.1% 31 21.6 0.0% 3.2%
2023 632 15.0 50.6% 0.3% 388 19.0 1.0% 0.5%
2024 643 15.6 40.4% 0.3% 367 18.3 3.8% 0.5%
2025 240 17.7 2.5% 0.4% 137 19.7 0.0% 0.7%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution