Luis Guerrero Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics

Luis Guerrero

P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 215LBS | Age: 24

Draft: 2021 | Rd: 17, #496, Boston Red Sox | Chipola College

MLB Pipeline Rank

	ERA	G	IP	SO	WHIP
2024	0.00	9	10	9	0.80
2025	2.92	8	12.1	5	1.14
2 Seasons	1.61	17	22.1	14	0.99

	G	W-L	ERA	IP	SO	WHIP
2024	9	0-0	0.00	10	9	0.80
2025	8	0-0	2.92	12.1	5	1.14
2 Seasons	17	0-0	1.61	22.1	14	0.99

Player Apps

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Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs

Standard MLB Batting Statistics

No MLB Hitting Statistics.

Standard MLB Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	BF	ERA	G	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
2024	BOS	AL	36	0.00	9	10.0	6	1	0	2	9	0.80
2025	BOS	AL	49	2.92	8	12.1	5	4	4	9	5	1.14
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	85	1.61	17	22.1	11	5	4	11	14	0.99

*: All Star Season, Rankings AL/NL: Top 5 10 15 20, Click for Chart.

Standard MLB Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	POS	G	INN	TC	PO	FPCT%
2024	BOS	AL	P	9	10.0	1	1	1.000
2025	BOS	AL	P	8	12.1	0	0	.000
2 Seasons	BOS	AL	P	17	22.1	1	1	1.000

Spray Chart

Standard Minor League Batting Statistics

No Minor League Hitting Statistics.

Standard Minor League Pitching Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	W	L	ERA	G	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2022	3 Teams		Minors	4	5	3.23	27	9	39.0	26	18	14	1	17	59	1.10
2022	FCL Red Sox	FCL	ROK	0	0	0.00	2	2	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.00
2022	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	4	3	4.18	18	6	23.2	15	13	11	1	14	37	1.23
2022	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	0	2	2.08	7	1	13.0	11	5	3	0	3	19	1.08
2023	2 Teams		Minors	3	3	2.32	49	19	54.1	30	18	14	3	37	68	1.23
2023	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	3	2	1.81	43	18	49.2	26	14	10	2	30	59	1.13
2023	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	0	1	7.71	6	1	4.2	4	4	4	1	7	9	2.36
2024	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	5	3	3.31	42	2	54.1	39	22	20	6	32	79	1.31
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	2	1	4.43	15	1	20.1	14	11	10	5	11	16	1.23
	FCL Red Sox	FCL	ROK	0	0	0.00	2	2	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.00
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	7	5	3.86	63	4	79.1	57	37	34	12	50	104	1.35
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	3	2	1.81	43	18	49.2	26	14	10	2	30	59	1.13
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	0	2	2.08	7	1	13.0	11	5	3	0	3	19	1.08
	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	4	3	4.18	18	6	23.2	15	13	11	1	14	37	1.23
Career Minors	5 Teams			14	12	3.11	133	31	168.0	109	69	58	15	97	222	1.23

Standard Minor League Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	L	POS	G	INN	TC	PO	A	E	DP	FPCT%
2022	3 Teams		Minors	P	27	39.0	1	0	1	0	1	1.000
2022	FCL Red Sox	FCL	ROK	P	2	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	.000
2022	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	P	18	23.2	1	0	1	0	1	1.000
2022	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	7	13.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
2023	2 Teams		Minors	P	49	54.1	4	0	1	3	0	.250
2023	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	43	49.2	4	0	1	3	0	.250
2023	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	6	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	.000
2024	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	42	54.1	3	1	2	0	0	1.000
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	15	20.1	1	0	1	0	0	1.000
	FCL Red Sox	FCL	ROK	P	2	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	.000
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	63	79.1	4	1	3	0	0	1.000
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	43	49.2	4	0	1	3	0	.250
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	7	13.0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
	Salem Red Sox	CAR	A	P	18	23.2	1	0	1	0	1	1.000
Career Minors	5 Teams			P	133	168.0	9	1	5	3	1	.667

Scouting Report

2025

Scouting grades: Fastball: 65 | Slider: 50 | Splitter: 60 | Control: 40 | Overall: 40

Guerrero had surgery on his right knee as a child, which hindered the development of muscles in his right leg and left him a limp because it's shorter than his left. Born in the Dominican Republic, he moved to Boston as a youngster and grew up as a Red Sox fan before joining the club as a 17th-round pick out of Chipola (Fla.) JC. He beat long odds and made it to the big leagues last September, permitting just one unearned run in 10 innings and laying the groundwork for a bigger bullpen role in 2025.

Guerrero lights up radar guns with a fastball that parks at 96-98 mph and peaks at 100, and it missed more bats last season because he commanded it better with armside run up in the strike zone. He gets a lot of horizontal action in the opposite direction with his upper-80s slider, though it doesn't have much depth. His upper-80s splitter is a more devastating secondary pitch, featuring fade and tumble at its best, though it can be tough to land for strikes.

Because his right leg doesn’t bend as easily, Guerrero has an upright delivery that produces little extension but combines with his low three-quarters arm slot to provide some deception. He has the stuff to fill a high-leverage relief role, but he'll need to improve his command and control to get there. His long arm action and the effort in his delivery have led to a career 13 percent walk rate through three pro seasons, and his power stuff can be hit hard when he doesn't locate it well.

2024

Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Slider: 50 | Splitter: 60 | Control: 40 | Overall: 40

Guerrero had surgery on his right knee as a child, which hindered the development of muscles in his leg and mobility in his knee, and he walks with a limp because his right leg is shorter than his left. Born in the Dominican Republic, he moved to Boston as a youngster and became a Red Sox fan, eventually joining them as a 17th-round pick out of Chipola (Fla.) JC in 2021. He has developed into one of the best bullpen prospects in the system, ranking third in the Minors with 19 saves, pitching in the SiriusXM All-Star Futures Game and earning Boston's Minor League Reliever of the Year award in 2023.

Guerrero sits at 96-98 mph and touches 100 with his fastball, though it plays worse than its velocity because it lacks life and he doesn't command it well. While his low-80s splitter is more devastating and dives at the plate, it's tough to land for strikes and he loses confidence in it at times. His upper-80s slider can reach 91 mph and grades as a solid offering with quality depth at its best, but it lacks consistency.

Guerrero has missed bats throughout his pro career and has the upside of a high-leverage reliever. He'll have to throw more strikes and command his offerings better to get there, however. He has impressive arm speed but also works with a lot of effort and has a long arm action, which hampers his control and command.

Awards

MiLB.com Organization All-Star

Year	Team
2023

EAS Post-Season All-Star

Year	Team
2023

Futures Game Selection

Year	Team
2023

Transactions

Team	Date	Transaction
	06/01/2025	Boston Red Sox recalled RHP Luis Guerrero from Worcester Red Sox.
	05/25/2025	Boston Red Sox optioned RHP Luis Guerrero to Worcester Red Sox.
	05/24/2025	Boston Red Sox recalled RHP Luis Guerrero from Worcester Red Sox.
	05/03/2025	Boston Red Sox optioned RHP Luis Guerrero to Worcester Red Sox.
	04/24/2025	Boston Red Sox recalled RHP Luis Guerrero from Worcester Red Sox.
	03/19/2025	Boston Red Sox optioned RHP Luis Guerrero to Worcester Red Sox.
	09/06/2024	Boston Red Sox selected the contract of RHP Luis Guerrero from Worcester Red Sox.
	03/07/2024	Boston Red Sox Prospects activated RHP Luis Guerrero.
	01/26/2024	Boston Red Sox invited non-roster RHP Luis Guerrero to spring training.
	09/06/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Worcester Red Sox from Portland Sea Dogs.
	09/06/2023	Worcester Red Sox activated RHP Luis Guerrero.
	07/14/2023	Portland Sea Dogs activated RHP Luis Guerrero from the temporarily inactive list.
	07/07/2023	Portland Sea Dogs placed RHP Luis Guerrero on the temporarily inactive list.
	07/07/2023	American League Futures activated RHP Luis Guerrero.
	07/07/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to American League Futures.
	04/05/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Portland Sea Dogs from Greenville Drive.
	02/26/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero roster status changed by Boston Red Sox.
	02/26/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Boston Red Sox.
	02/26/2023	RHP Luis Guerrero roster status changed by Boston Red Sox.
	08/18/2022	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Greenville Drive from Salem Red Sox.
	08/18/2022	Greenville Drive activated RHP Luis Guerrero.
	06/12/2022	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Salem Red Sox from FCL Red Sox.
	06/03/2022	FCL Red Sox activated RHP Luis Guerrero.
	06/03/2022	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to FCL Red Sox.
	08/01/2021	Boston Red Sox signed RHP Luis Guerrero.
	05/20/2021	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Frederick Keys.
	09/27/2019	RHP Luis Guerrero assigned to Florida.

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Left				8			4.0	19	5			0	3	0	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Right				8			8.1	30	0			0	6	5	0.72

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	April	0.00	3	4.0	13	1	0	0	0	3	0.25
Boston Red Sox	MLB	May	6.75	1	1.1	8	2	1	1	3	1	3.75
Boston Red Sox	MLB	June	3.86	4	7.0	28	2	3	3	6	1	1.14
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Pre All-Star	2.92	8	12.1	49	5	4	4	9	5	1.14

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Empty	8	8.0	31	2	5	3	0.88
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 1st	5	1.2	7	0	3	1	1.80
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 2nd	3	1.0	4	2	0	0	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 3rd	2	0.2	2	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 2nd	2	1.0	4	1	0	0	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 3rd	1	0.0	1	0	1	0	-.--
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Scoring Position	4	2.2	11	3	1	1	1.50

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Home Games	0	0	3.48	6	0	0	10.1	43	5	4	4	9	3	1.35
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Away Games	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	2.0	6	0	0	0	0	2	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Day Games	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	5.1	18	1	0	0	2	4	0.56
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Night Games	0	0	5.14	5	0	0	7.0	31	4	4	4	7	1	1.57
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Leading Off				8			3.1	12	0			2	1	0.60
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Late / Close				5			5.2	25	4			5	4	1.59

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	No Outs	8	4.1	15	0	3	1	0.69
Boston Red Sox	MLB	One Out	7	3.2	15	1	4	1	1.36
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Two Outs	7	4.1	19	4	2	3	1.38

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Second Inning	0.00	1	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Third Inning	0.00	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fourth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	2	0	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Seventh Inning	27.00	2	0.2	5	1	2	2	2	0	4.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Eighth Inning	0.00	6	5.1	19	2	0	0	1	3	0.56
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Ninth Inning	4.50	4	4.0	17	2	2	2	4	1	1.50

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	vs Left				15			8.2	36	6			3	3	5	1.04
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	vs Right				14			11.2	52	8			2	8	11	1.37

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	March	0	0	0.00	1	0	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	April	0	1	5.79	7	1	9.1	42	9	7	6	3	5	7	1.50
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	May	2	0	3.60	7	0	10.0	43	5	4	4	2	6	9	1.10
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	First Half	2	1	4.43	15	1	20.1	88	14	11	10	5	11	16	1.23

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Bases Empty	15	12.2	53	6	1	8	10	1.11
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Bases Loaded	3	1.1	5	1	1	0	3	0.75
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runner at 1st	11	3.1	16	5	1	1	2	1.80
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runners at 1st & 2nd	5	0.2	3	1	1	0	0	1.50
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runners at 1st & 3rd	1	0.0	1	1	1	0	0	-.--
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runner at 2nd	5	2.0	7	0	0	0	1	0.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	2	0.0	2	0	0	2	0	-.--
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Runner at 3rd	1	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	0.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Scoring Position	10	4.1	19	3	3	2	4	1.15

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Home Games	0	1	4.15	4	0	0	4.1	18	3	2	2	2	1	2	0.92
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Away Games	2	0	4.50	11	0	1	16.0	70	11	9	8	3	10	14	1.31
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Day Games	1	0	5.63	6	0	0	8.0	35	6	6	5	2	5	4	1.38
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Night Games	1	1	3.65	9	0	1	12.1	53	8	5	5	3	6	12	1.14
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Leading Off				14			5.0	20	1			1	4	4	1.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Late / Close				4			4.1	18	1			1	3	4	0.92

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	No Outs	14	6.2	25	1	1	4	5	0.75
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	One Out	14	6.2	32	6	1	5	6	1.65
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Two Outs	15	7.0	31	7	3	2	5	1.29

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Fifth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Sixth Inning	6.75	4	4.0	16	4	3	3	1	0	2	1.00
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Seventh Inning	2.08	5	4.1	21	2	1	1	1	5	6	1.62
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Eighth Inning	0.00	6	5.1	21	1	1	0	0	4	2	0.94
Worcester Red Sox	Triple-A	Ninth Inning	9.53	6	5.2	26	7	6	6	3	1	5	1.41

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	ERA	G	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-04-24	Boston Red Sox	Seattle Mariners	0.00	1	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	0.50
2025-04-26	Cleveland Guardians	Boston Red Sox	0.00	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0.33
2025-04-29	Toronto Blue Jays	Boston Red Sox	0.00	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0.25
April	Boston Red Sox		0.00	3	4.0	1	0	0	0	3	0.25
2025-05-24	Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles	1.69	1	1.1	2	1	1	3	1	1.13
May	Boston Red Sox		6.75	1	1.1	2	1	1	3	1	3.75
2025-06-02	Boston Red Sox	Los Angeles Angels	1.23	1	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	0.82
2025-06-04	Boston Red Sox	Los Angeles Angels	0.93	1	2.1	0	0	0	2	1	0.83
2025-06-09	Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	1.50	1	2.1	1	1	1	2	0	0.92
2025-06-14	Boston Red Sox	New York Yankees	2.92	1	0.1	1	2	2	2	0	1.14
June	Boston Red Sox		3.86	4	7.0	2	3	3	6	1	1.14

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-03-30	Worcester Red Sox	Syracuse Mets	0	0	0.00	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
March	Worcester Red Sox		0	0	0.00	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
2025-04-02	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	0.00	1	1	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.00
2025-04-04	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	0.00	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00
2025-04-06	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	0.00	1	0	2.0	0	1	0	0	2	2	0.40
2025-04-09	Worcester Red Sox	Columbus Clippers	0	1	1.69	1	0	0.1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0.56
2025-04-15	Rochester Red Wings	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	1.23	1	0	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	2	0.82
2025-04-18	Rochester Red Wings	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	6.48	1	0	1.0	6	5	5	2	0	1	1.44
2025-04-22	Worcester Red Sox	Syracuse Mets	0	0	5.23	1	0	2.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1.35
April	Worcester Red Sox		0	1	5.79	7	1	9.1	9	7	6	3	5	7	1.50
2025-05-07	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	4.38	1	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	3	1.30
2025-05-11	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	3.77	1	0	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.19
2025-05-15	Buffalo Bisons	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	4.96	1	0	2.0	3	3	3	1	1	3	1.29
2025-05-18	Buffalo Bisons	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	4.67	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1.27
2025-05-21	Worcester Red Sox	Durham Bulls	0	0	4.91	1	0	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	2	1.25
2025-05-28	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	4.66	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1.24
2025-05-30	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	Worcester Red Sox	0	0	4.43	1	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1.23
May	Worcester Red Sox		2	0	3.60	7	0	10.0	5	4	4	2	6	9	1.10

Statcast Statistics

Season	Age	Pitches	Batted Balls	Barrels	Barrel %	Barrel/PA	Exit Velocity	Max EV	Launch Angle	LA Sweet- Spot %	XBA	XSLG	WOBA	XWOBA	XWOBACON	HardHit%	K%	BB%	ERA	xERA
2024	23	133	25	2	8.0	5.6	86.3	111.5	18.9	28.0	.193	.265	.196	.257	.315	36.0	25.0	5.6	0.00	2.72
2025	24	199	35	3	8.6	6.1	89.5	112.8	12.9	37.1	.276	.442	.226	.395	.375	40.0	10.2	18.4	2.92	6.31
Player		332	60	5	8.3	5.9	88.2	112.8	15.4	33.3	.238	.361	.213	.336	.350	38.3	16.5	12.9
MLB					7.1	4.8	88.5	122.9	12.4	33.2	.245	.405	.316	.315	.369	36.7	22.2	8.4

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerrero relies on 4 pitches.

Slider

(44.9%) ,

Four Seamer

(34.3%) ,

Sweeper

(15.2%) ,

Changeup

(5.6%) ,

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.

+ View Luis Guerrero's Pitches in 3d

Pitch Tracking

Batted Ball Profile

Season	GB %	AIR %	FB %	LD %	PU %	Pull %	Straight %	Oppo %	Pull GB %	Straight GB %	Oppo GB %	Pull AIR %	Straight AIR %	Oppo AIR %
		AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups				All Batted Balls			Batted Ball Breakdown
2024	44.0	56.0	36.0	8.0	12.0	40.0	40.0	20.0	24.0	8.0	12.0	16.0	32.0	8.0
2025	42.9	57.1	28.6	22.9	5.7	37.1	34.3	28.6	22.9	14.3	5.7	14.3	20.0	22.9
Player	43.3	56.7	31.7	16.7	8.3	38.3	36.7	25.0	23.3	11.7	8.3	15.0	25.0	16.7
MLB	44.4	55.6	23.9	24.7	7.1	37.2	37.4	25.2	20.6	17.7	5.9	16.6	19.7	19.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season	Weak %	Topped %	Under %	Flare/Burner %	Solid %	Barrel %	Barrel/PA
2024	4.0	24.0	32.0	24.0	8.0	8.0	5.6
2025	2.9	37.1	25.7	17.1	8.6	8.6	6.1
Player	3.3	31.7	28.3	20.0	8.3	8.3	5.9
MLB	3.9	32.5	24.9	24.4	5.9	7.1	4.8

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.

						Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)				Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year	Pitch	Team	Hand	#	MPH	Vertical Drop	vs. Comparable	Horizontal Break	vs. Comparable	Vertical Break	vs. Avg	Horizontal Break	vs. Avg
2025	Changeup	BOS	R	11	87.7	31.3	-0.9	17.0ARM	1.7	4.3	-0.2	17.0ARM	2.2
2025	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	R	68	96.4	13.6	0.8	8.8ARM	0.2	16.1	0.2	8.8ARM	1.1
2025	Slider	BOS	R	89	84.8	39.7	2.1	4.2GLV	-1.1	-1.7	3.4	4.2GLV	-0.7
2025	Sweeper	BOS	R	30	81.8	38.9	-1.9	16.0GLV	2.0	2.2	-0.9	16.0GLV	2.0
2024	Sweeper	BOS	R	38	86.1	34.0	-2.7	11.2GLV	-2.1	3.2	-1.7	11.2GLV	-2.9
2024	Changeup	BOS	R	33	88.7	29.9	-0.7	17.4ARM	2.5	4.9	0.0	17.4ARM	3.2
2024	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	R	62	97.5	12.5	1.0	10.0ARM	1.5	16.4	0.7	10.0ARM	2.4

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year	Pitch Type	RV/100	Run Value	Pitches	%	PA	BA	SLG	wOBA	Whiff%	K%	PutAway %	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Hard Hit %
2025	Slider	2.5	2	89	44.7	22	.111	.111	.209	38.6	9.1	10.5	.304	.519	.414	50.0
2025	4-Seam Fastball	1.6	1	68	34.2	19	.133	.200	.224	23.3	15.8	15.0	.215	.332	.357	38.5
2025	Sweeper	1.1	0	30	15.1	5	.000	.000	.280	25.0	0.0	0.0	.261	.310	.429	0.0
2025	Changeup	-2.9	0	11	5.5	3	.333	.333	.300	12.5	0.0	0.0	.423	.658	.462	33.3
2024	4-Seam Fastball	3.3	2	62	46.6	12	.100	.100	.133	35.5	41.7	33.3	.109	.144	.256	50.0
2024	Sweeper	0.6	0	38	28.6	10	.222	.333	.285	20.0	20.0	18.2	.253	.384	.318	42.9
2024	Changeup	4.3	1	33	24.8	14	.214	.214	.193	16.7	14.3	25.0	.213	.276	.215	25.0

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

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Spin Direction

Year	Pitch Type	Pitches	MPH	Active Spin %	Total Movement (In.)	Spin-Based	Observed	Deviation
2025	Changeup	11	87.7	90	18.2	2:00	2:45	-45
2025	4-Seam Fastball	68	96.4	95	18.0	1:15	1:00	15
2025	Slider	89	84.8	35	5.9	9:00	7:45	75
2025	Sweeper	29	81.8	50	17.1	8:15	9:00	-45
2024	Changeup	33	88.7	93	18.7	2:00	2:30	-30
2024	4-Seam Fastball	62	97.5	96	19.0	1:15	1:00	15
2024	Sweeper	38	86.1	37	12.1	8:30	9:15	-45

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.

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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.

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Statcast Pitching Run Value

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All
2024		36	133	3	2	-1	0	4
2025		49	198	5	2	-2	-2	3
Player		85	331	8	4	-2	8	7

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Statcast Pitching Run Value (Leveraged)

These run values are leveraged, meaning the base/out situation at the time of the event does impact the run value (thus introducing context outside the batter's own contribution).

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All	+/- Due To Leverage
2024		36	133	4	1	-1	0	3	0
2025		49	198	4	1	-2	-1	2	-1
Player		85	331	8	2	-3	8	6	-1

Plate Discipline

Season	Pitches	Zone %	Zone Swing %	Zone Contact %	Chase %	Chase Contact %	Edge %	1st Pitch Strike %	Swing %	Whiff %	Meatball %	Meatball Swing %
2024	133	51.1	66.2	77.8	29.2	63.2	40.6	66.7	48.1	26.6	8.3	72.7
2025	199	40.2	72.5	77.6	30.3	58.3	41.7	59.2	47.2	29.8	9.0	77.8
Player	332	44.6	69.6	77.7	29.9	60.0	41.3	62.4	47.6	28.5	8.7	75.9
MLB		48.7	67.0	82.1	28.4	57.6	42.6	61.1	47.2	25.0	7.3	76.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year	xwOBA / xERA	xBA	xSLG	xISO	xOBP	Brl	Brl%	EV	Hard Hit%	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Chase Rate	FB Velo	FB Spin	CB Spin	Extension
2024														94	47		4
2025														84	25		3

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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year	Avg HR Trot	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubter %
2024	--	0.5	-1	1	1	--
2025	--	1.0	-1	1	2	--
Player	--	1.5	-2	2	3	--

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.

Standard

Year	Avg HR Trot	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubter %
2024	--	0.2	0	2	0	--
2025	--	0.4	0	2	1	--
Player	--	0.6	-1	4	1	--

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.

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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
2024	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1
2025	1	2	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1
Player	1	2	2	1	1	2	2	3	3	1	1	1	1	2	2	1	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	2	2

Standard

Year
2024	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
2025	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	1
Player	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1

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Year to Year Changes

Metric	2024	+/-		2025
Fastball Velocity	97.5	-1.1	↓	96.4
Offspeed Velocity	88.7	-1.0	↓	87.7
Breaking Velocity	86.1	-2.1	↓	84.0
Exit Velocity	86.3	3.2	↑	89.5
Launch Angle	18.9	-6.0	↓	12.9
Barrel %	8.0	0.6	↑	8.6
Hard Hit %	36.0	4.0	↑	40.0
LA Sweet-Spot %	28.0	9.1	↑	37.1
xBA	.193	0.083	↑	.276
BA	.182	-0.054	↓	.128
xwOBA	.257	0.138	↑	.395
wOBA	.196	0.030	↑	.226
xSLG	.265	0.177	↑	.442
SLG	.212	-0.058	↓	.154
K%	25.0	-14.8	↓	10.2
BB%	5.6	12.8	↑	18.4
Swing %	48.1	-0.9	↓	47.2
Whiff%	26.6	3.2	↑	29.8
In Zone %	51.1	-10.9	↓	40.2
Out of Zone %	48.9	10.9	↑	59.8
Out of Zone Swing %	29.2	1.1	↑	30.3
First Pitch Swing %	38.9	1.9	↑	40.8
First Pitch Strike %	66.7	-7.5	↓	59.2

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Statcast Fielder Positioning

				vs RHH			vs LHH
Year	Alignment Type	PA	wOBA	PA	Total	%	PA	Total	%
2024	Shades	36	.196	18	1	5.6	18	13	72.2
2025	Shades	49	.226	30	2	6.7	19	13	68.4

! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

		Bases Empty				Runners On Base
Season	Team	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %
2024		34	15.3	38.2%	0.0%	25	16.6	12.0%	0.0%
2025		41	15.7	34.1%	0.0%	32	17.3	18.8%	0.0%

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MLB Pipeline Rank

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Scouting Report

MiLB.com Organization All-Star

EAS Post-Season All-Star

Futures Game Selection